The Monetary Policy Committee’s decision on Thursday to keep the repo rate at 5.5% and prime lending at 9% comes as no real surprise and offers a continued respite to debt burdened homeowners.
This was widely anticipated and is welcome, said Dr Andrew Golding, CE of the Pam Golding Property group, particularly against a backdrop of rising oil and food prices coupled with increasing electricity tariffs.
“Consumer spend generally remains cautious as a result of ongoing concerns regarding household debt.
“And amid market speculation regarding an end to the current cycle of lower interest rates, it is hoped that interest rates will remain stable at least for the remainder of this year in order to stimulate further economic growth, bearing in mind that job creation remains a key focus,” said Golding.
He said that from a residential property perspective Pam Golding Properties continues to see a gradual, albeit modest improvement in sales volumes and in house prices. “It should be borne in mind that we are still seeing the effects of the latter part of last year’s reduction in interest rates permeate through the marketplace, helping sustain residential sales across most price sectors.
“However, although relaxed to some extent, strict bank lending criteria continue to keep a rein on any significant recovery in the housing market,” added Golding.
He said that while it’s true that interest rates are at a historical low, first-time buyers entering the market still face affordability issues. This is “due to the higher municipal rates and increased electricity costs, among other costs inherent in the purchase and upkeep of a home, and this is exacerbated by restricted access to finance.”
“On a positive note, what we are noticing is that those sellers who are receptive to pricing their homes at realistic, market-related prices are reaping the benefits and achieving sales,” said Golding.
He said that for investors who have access to finance or with high liquidity, there are still good buys to be had, as property prices in the main have remained relatively constant over the past year or so. “Having said that, there are many areas or locations where properties continue to achieve sound growth in value, and will continue to do so, making the case for investment in property as valid as ever”.
While most remain cautiously optimistic about continued economic recovery, said Adrian Goslett, CEO RE/MAX of Southern Africa, there are definite signs of improvement. “Aside from the interest rate remaining stable, The South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Business Confidence Index for January 2011, which is at 87.4, indicates a vast improvement from January 2009 (82.4) and 2010 (81.2).”
It is anticipated that 2011 will be a fairly flat year for the property market, said Goslett, as debt-to-income ratios are still at a relatively high level and as distressed homeowners continue to make use of the various bank programmes to assist them in selling property they can no longer afford.
“As there is still limited access to finance, rental markets are expected to peak while qualified buyers will be able to make the most of the property investment opportunities that are currently there for the taking, a situation which certainly won’t last forever as interest rate hikes are expected later in the year,” said Goslett.
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